Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LTC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-09-29 0.020440 0.021949 0.023520 0.025278 0.027193 0.029218 0.031524
2024-10-06 0.017733 0.019879 0.022228 0.024998 0.028184 0.031745 0.036043
2024-10-13 0.015893 0.018395 0.021240 0.024728 0.028913 0.033798 0.039972
2024-10-20 0.014360 0.017044 0.020189 0.024168 0.029107 0.035081 0.042923
2024-10-27 0.013524 0.016411 0.019882 0.024399 0.030179 0.037398 0.047212
2024-11-03 0.012733 0.015748 0.019456 0.024404 0.030905 0.039260 0.050982
2024-11-10 0.012187 0.015338 0.019298 0.024701 0.031981 0.041593 0.055487
2024-11-17 0.011475 0.014661 0.018738 0.024413 0.032229 0.042798 0.058484
2024-11-24 0.010914 0.014143 0.018346 0.024305 0.032686 0.044277 0.061930
2024-12-01 0.010331 0.013559 0.017824 0.023975 0.032792 0.045243 0.064660
2024-12-08 0.009938 0.013206 0.017591 0.024022 0.033417 0.046965 0.068601
2024-12-15 0.009457 0.012707 0.017126 0.023706 0.033481 0.047847 0.071295
2024-12-22 0.008948 0.012148 0.016556 0.023213 0.033265 0.048305 0.073374
2024-12-29 0.008558 0.011741 0.016181 0.022982 0.033421 0.049332 0.076425
2025-01-05 0.008196 0.011355 0.015816 0.022743 0.033544 0.050299 0.079426
2025-01-12 0.007783 0.010878 0.015295 0.022237 0.033214 0.050515 0.081163
2025-01-19 0.007599 0.010727 0.015245 0.022447 0.034018 0.052595 0.086227
2025-01-26 0.007372 0.010500 0.015072 0.022451 0.034486 0.054138 0.090450
2025-02-02 0.007227 0.010392 0.015069 0.022720 0.035394 0.056462 0.096236
2025-02-09 0.006958 0.010083 0.014746 0.022459 0.035403 0.057246 0.099239
2025-02-16 0.006745 0.009851 0.014531 0.022361 0.035676 0.058494 0.103193
2025-02-23 0.006496 0.009554 0.014204 0.022062 0.035587 0.059091 0.105929
2025-03-02 0.006339 0.009396 0.014088 0.022105 0.036088 0.060766 0.110890